Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.041578 1.257751 1.486928 1.746110 2.029298 2.327695 2.664297
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.749134 1.043518 1.378786 1.780800 2.242437 2.749543 3.342604
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.581391 0.907076 1.298551 1.787376 2.367039 3.020215 3.800375
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.425722 0.757335 1.180345 1.730932 2.404511 3.181690 4.127714
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.310576 0.636363 1.077918 1.675660 2.427690 3.313302 4.408579
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.229753 0.546727 1.003161 1.643996 2.470463 3.460899 4.702156
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.184347 0.501179 0.981279 1.675004 2.586620 3.693252 5.093460
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.142669 0.452204 0.948031 1.685905 2.673685 3.887774 5.437971
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.100689 0.390997 0.889004 1.655703 2.703385 4.008539 5.691200
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.090006 0.389198 0.920265 1.751037 2.896995 4.333224 6.192827
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.081536 0.390073 0.954849 1.850748 3.096527 4.665869 6.705165
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.075687 0.395539 0.996405 1.960470 3.309754 5.016440 7.240563
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.066281 0.392905 1.028635 2.064142 3.525722 5.384235 7.815137
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049776 0.366188 1.018025 2.104540 3.657633 5.647964 8.265340
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033462 0.330573 0.987062 2.110964 3.740543 5.847009 8.633515
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016468 0.276142 0.914541 2.049147 3.726202 5.918976 8.842141
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006114 0.228266 0.846211 1.988150 3.708803 5.983858 9.039349
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001537 0.193312 0.797208 1.953264 3.724524 6.088852 9.284135
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000360 0.179411 0.791110 1.987450 3.838540 6.323076 9.692882
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.161324 0.772687 1.999471 3.919618 6.513297 10.045636
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.134867 0.729334 1.966169 3.932656 6.611732 10.280410
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.139900 0.765399 2.071203 4.150323 6.985040 10.868762
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.145794 0.803882 2.180815 4.375281 7.368801 11.471434